Some companies are building something that could reshape an entire industry. We value that one project from the ground up, and show you every assumption behind the number.
Two free, interactive models that build each value from the ground up. Pick a future, change anything you disagree with, and see what it means in today’s dollars. No finance knowledge needed.
What could fleets of driverless Cybercabs, first in the US and later worldwide, be worth today? Follow the money from one ride to the whole fleet.
What could AI computers in orbit, powered by the sun, be worth today? Follow the money from launches to gigawatts.
The one project that could reshape its industry: robotaxis for Tesla, AI computing in orbit for SpaceX.
One ride, one car, one fleet. Every input is a slider you can move.
Discount that future value at a rate that reflects how risky the project is.
See how much of today’s share price this single project can explain, and check it against real-world data every week.
Markets are good at pricing what already exists, but find it much harder to price something new. In two minutes, we explain where we focus, how we build a value step by step, and how we keep ourselves honest.
Both cockpits work the same way, so once you know one you know the other.
Simple for newcomers, Standard for more detail, Advanced for discount rates and multiples.
A short walkthrough points out each part of the cockpit, step by step.
A Monte Carlo simulation and a sensitivity chart show which assumptions matter most.
Copy a link to your exact settings, or download a one-page PDF summary.
Two short animated explainers start from a single ride or a single satellite and build up to the value of the whole business, one easy step at a time.
Laniakea Research is an independent equity and technology research firm based in Zurich. These cockpits are the valuation models behind our research on two emerging businesses: Tesla’s robotaxi network in the US, and SpaceX’s AI data centers in orbit. We made them free and interactive so that anyone can see where a valuation comes from, and test it against their own view.
The robotaxi cockpit starts with a single ride: what a rider pays, and what the car costs to run once no driver is needed. It scales that up to a full fleet across US cities, applies an earnings multiple and discounts the result back to today. You can change Tesla’s share of the market, the fare per mile, the cost of the car, the year the fleet is complete and more.
Open the Tesla robotaxi cockpit →The orbital data center cockpit starts with one AI satellite and one Starship launch. It compares the cost of computing in orbit with a data center on the ground, scales up to a full network in orbit and discounts the profit back to today. You can change the number of Starship flights per year, the cost and lifetime of a satellite, launch costs, power prices on Earth and more.
Open the SpaceX orbital data center cockpit →Each base case is Laniakea Research’s own view, built on our published research. Every figure is visible and adjustable, and the cockpits show which assumptions move the answer most. The results are scenarios built on stated assumptions, not forecasts.
Read the robotaxi research →Read the orbital data center research →