Laniakea Research
Cockpits

Our valuation cockpits

Each cockpit values one moonshot from the ground up. Pick one, change anything you disagree with, and see what it means in today’s dollars. No finance knowledge needed.

Tesla · Robotaxi A day of Cybercabs across the USOpen →

Tesla US Robotaxi Cockpit

What could a fleet of driverless Cybercabs on US roads be worth today? Follow the money from one ride to the whole fleet.

  1. One ride$3.77
  2. Profit / car / yr$18,680
  3. Fleet12.4M cars
  4. Value today$1.17T
Base case: ≈ $295 of Tesla’s $372.22 share price79%
Robotaxis only: cars, energy and Optimus not includedShare price on 23 Oct 2026
In 8 of 10 simulated futures: $0.40T – $2.14T today, middle $1.01T
Open cockpit
Updated weekly · base case as of 24 Oct 2026 · works on phone and desktop
SpaceX · Orbital data centers A week of Starship launches in 2040Open →

SpaceX Orbital Data Center Cockpit

What could AI computers in orbit, launched by Starship and powered by the sun, be worth today? Follow it from launches to gigawatts.

  1. Flights a year3,200
  2. AI satellites720,000
  3. Compute180 GW
  4. Value today$1.24T
Base case: ≈ $91 of SpaceX’s $147.49 share price62%
Orbital data centers only: Starlink and launches not includedShare price on 23 Oct 2026
In 8 of 10 simulated futures: $0.37T – $2.42T today, middle $1.07T
Open cockpit
Updated weekly · base case as of 24 Oct 2026 · works on phone and desktop
Coming next

More cockpits are on the way

We build a cockpit when a project could reshape a whole industry and the numbers can be built from the ground up. New cockpits appear here and in the News.

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Understand the business · about 5 minutes

Each value, built up step by step

Two short animated explainers start from a single ride or a single satellite and build up to the value of the whole business, one easy step at a time.

Disclosure: These cockpits are scenario tools built on stated assumptions, not forecasts. Not investment advice. Laniakea Research holds positions in Tesla and SpaceX and may benefit if their share prices move.
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